Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 439.422066 499.250028 565.530594 644.628580 736.742460 840.971213 968.321130
2026-01-18 340.861891 417.050461 509.000185 629.020946 782.826615 975.034904 1236.117223
2026-01-25 286.407379 367.806040 471.753213 615.876363 813.121949 1077.418557 1464.842638
2026-02-01 258.809059 345.929953 462.541768 632.685586 879.057751 1229.881386 1780.184576
2026-02-08 232.303944 320.897935 444.192191 631.949748 917.177811 1345.186218 2057.627133
2026-02-15 209.431032 297.611310 424.533217 625.177818 943.171818 1443.255903 2321.778780
2026-02-22 193.558383 282.322061 414.127909 629.899492 985.816062 1571.160447 2654.551644
2026-03-01 176.545783 263.361686 395.801261 619.326159 1001.257909 1654.939123 2923.156564
2026-03-08 163.106914 248.463894 382.006600 613.969763 1023.826266 1752.674114 3232.942530
2026-03-15 147.538145 228.725213 358.468169 589.385626 1009.225683 1780.831813 3411.612659
2026-03-22 142.081976 224.771032 360.201888 608.184682 1074.453510 1965.518333 3940.892273
2026-03-29 138.165382 222.933209 365.149516 632.952421 1153.591297 2188.350247 4596.396679
2026-04-05 130.536563 214.311244 357.876545 635.029695 1190.203187 2333.392773 5114.553940
2026-04-12 120.973004 201.590165 342.292099 619.833877 1190.475518 2402.695931 5470.499754
2026-04-19 112.715770 190.510479 328.674230 606.901760 1193.538779 2478.076108 5857.415476
2026-04-26 109.244505 187.717011 329.953524 623.429070 1260.933334 2708.247055 6698.162880
2026-05-03 103.826333 180.927557 323.127288 622.705590 1290.426011 2854.809388 7348.783044
2026-05-10 98.152701 173.237272 313.928943 616.047538 1305.599541 2969.076012 7936.085708
2026-05-17 94.251646 168.600667 310.262213 620.689832 1347.371240 3156.396222 8789.620128
2026-05-24 89.005646 161.013788 300.150821 610.294132 1352.046606 3248.776008 9372.705133
2026-05-31 84.701858 154.972308 292.687965 605.027550 1368.561321 3375.524189 10103.112776
2026-06-07 78.829907 145.469577 277.479591 580.854110 1334.992328 3359.731495 10347.457258
2026-06-14 77.473231 144.889398 280.699092 599.339340 1412.642650 3671.068445 11838.219465